Parallax volatility advisers7/27/2023 ![]() ![]() Higher rates could have greater impact because “non-financial debt as a percentage of GDP has surpassed pre-crisis levels in China and the G20,” she mapped out.įaster inflation also seems probable. “February 2018 saw financial conditions turn negative for the first time since February 2015 which preceded a major stock market correction, and the IMF’s Financial Stability Review has identified medium term vulnerabilities rising,” she added. The ECB’s QE policies have had effect through multiple channels – credit, currency, interest rates, duration, and signalling” – all of which could back-pedal. The Fed is withdrawing $1.5 trillion of QE, of which $380 billion is coming this year. Trade wars are another risk, pointed out by Lena Komileva, Chief Economist at G+ Economics, who also reckons that “markets are complacent about central banks ending quantitative easing for the first time in a decade. Non-financial debt as a percentage of GDP has surpassed pre-crisis levels in China and the G20. ![]() His findings could heighten political tensions outside the region. Veteran war reporter, Robert Fisk, said he is investigating the provenance of weapons used by Isis and Nusra. Rodriguez, Managing Partner of AZR Capital, spotlighted that geopolitics and domestic politics are heating up, with far-right politicians winning power in multiple countries while the Middle East faces dictatorships, civil wars and chaos. There are always Cassandras calling for crises, and a stopped clock must be right twice a day, but in early 2018 it seems that a range of risk factors are coalescing to ramp up volatility.Įvent chair, Maya A.Z. ![]() The Hedge Fund Journal nearly always attends the London day and here we review highlights from a very candid discussion amongst leading hedge fund managers of volatility and other strategies, economists, exchanges, brokers, allocators, academics and other market participants. The London event held on April 12th, 2018, generated $106,000. The annual Volatility and Tail Risk Educational Events (held in Sydney, London and Zurich) have raised more than $500,000 for charities such as VIMBA, Woman’s Trust, Vision for a Nation and Beanstalk. ![]()
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